UCONN vs. USF - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCONN vs. USF - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

USF Bulls (1-3) at UCONN Huskies (1-3)

College Football: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field)

The Line: UCONN Huskies +10.5 -- Over/Under: 52 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The South Florida Bulls and UConn Huskies meet Saturday in college football action at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rent.

The South Florida Bulls need a victory here to rebound after a sluggish 1-3 start to the season. The South Florida Bulls have lost their last four road games. Blake Barnett is completing 51.9 percent of his passes for 434 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions. Barnett and Jordan McCloud have combined for eight touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. Mitchell Wilcox and Johnny Ford combined for 327 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Bryce Miller has seven receptions. The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 97.5 yards per contest, and Jordan McCloud leads the way with 82 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, South Florida is allowing 31.8 points and 391.8 yards per game. Patrick Macon leads the South Florida Bulls with 30 tackles, Tyrik Jones has one sack and KJ Sails has one interception.

The UConn Huskies also need a victory here to snap a three-game winning streak. The UConn Huskies have lost five of their last six home games. Jack Zergiotis is completing 58.1 percent of his passes for 373 yards, zero touchdowns and four interceptions. UConn quarterbacks have combined for three touchdowns and six interceptions this season. Cameron Ross and Ardell Brown have combined for 346 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Matt Drayton has nine receptions. The UConn Huskies ground game is averaging 110 yards per contest, and Kevin Mensah leads the way with 328 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, UConn is allowing 36.5 points and 394.8 yards per game. Omar Fortt leads the UConn Huskies with 30 tackles, Lwal Uguak has 3.5 sacks and Tyler Cole has one interception. 

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The Bulls are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 conference games. The Huskies are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 home games, 7-24-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 18-45-2 ATS in their last 65 games overall. The underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings The under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 games overall. The over is 7-3 in Bulls last 10 games in October.

The South Florida Bulls have failed to cover eight of their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. The UConn Huskies have split their last eight games ATS as a double-digit underdog. UConn has consistently been one of the worst teams in the country with not a lot of talent on either side of the ball and a defense that can't stop a nosebleed. However, the South Florida Bulls haven't been worldbeaters and you could argue they're one of the worst coached teams in the country. While USF has more top end talent and better athletes, the Bulls shouldn't be laying double-digit chalk against any other FBS team. Give me the points by default. 

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Randy’s Pick UCONN Huskies +10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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