SMU vs. Tulsa - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-2) at SMU Mustangs (5-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 7:30 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)
The Line: SMU Mustangs -13 -- Over/Under: 63.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane look for their second road victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have lost seven of their last eight road games. Zach Smith is completing 58.5 percent of his passes for 1,018 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Smith has at least one touchdown pass in seven of his last 11 games. Sam Crawford Jr. and Keylon Stokes have combined for 631 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Keenen Johnson has 13 receptions. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane ground game is averaging 106 yards per contest, and Shamari Brooks leads the way with 314 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing 26.3 points and 378.5 yards per game. Cooper Edmiston leads the Tulsa Golden Hurricane with 34 tackles, Trevis Gipson has three sacks and Reggie Robinson II has one interception.
The SMU Mustangs look to improve to 6-0 on the season to keep pace in a wide open AAC. The SMU Mustangs have won five of their last seven home games. Shane Buechele is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 1,385 yards, 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. Buechele has two or more touchdown passes in his last four games. Reggie Roberson Jr. and James Proche have combined for 886 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Kylen Granson has 12 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 222.4 yards per contest, and Xavier Jones leads the way with 525 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 26.6 points and 363.6 yards per game. Patrick Nelson leads the SMU Mustangs with 29 tackles, Delontae Scott has 3.5 sacks and Rodney Clemons has three interceptions.
The Golden Hurricane are 13-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 19-9 ATS in their last 28 road games. The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings. The over is 5-0 in Mustangs last 5 games overall. The under is 19-7 in Golden Hurricane last 26 games overall.
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have covered six of their last nine games as a double-digit underdog. The SMU Mustangs have covered six of their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. Tulsa isn't the same team it's been in past years, as the offense isn't nearly as explosive and it's a team that usually gets waxed whenever stepping up in competition. The SMU Mustangs have been an offensive machine out of the gate, scoring no less than 37 points in their first five games and they have a chance to keep that momentum heading into a bye week. I'm buying what SMU is selling right now. I'll take the Mustangs just under two full touchdowns.