Ohio State vs. Michigan State - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Ohio State vs. Michigan State - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan State Spartans (4-1) at Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 7:30 pm (Ohio Stadium)

The Line: Ohio State Buckeyes -20 -- Over/Under: 49.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Michigan State Spartans and Ohio State Buckeyes meet Saturday in college football action at Ohio Stadium.

The Michigan State Spartans look for a monster road victory to create a three-game winning streak. The Michigan State Spartans have won five of their last seven road games. Brian Lewerke is completing 59.8 percent of his passes for 1,325 yards, 10 touchdowns and one interception. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last nine games. Darrell Stewart Jr. and Cody White have combined for 813 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Matt Seybert has 11 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 144.6 yards per contest, and Elijah Collins leads the way with 413 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 15 points and 253.8 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 46 tackles, Kenny Willekes has four sacks and Antjuan Simmons has one interception.

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The Ohio State Buckeyes look to start 6-0 for the fifth time in the last six years. The Ohio State Buckeyes haven’t lost a home game since September of 2017. Justin Fields is completing 69.8 percent of his passes for 1,092 yards, 16 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Fields has three or more touchdown passes in four of the first five games. Binjimen Victor and Chris Olave have combined for 527 receiving yards and six touchdowns while KJ Hill has 20 receptions. The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 281.6 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 654 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 8.6 points and 223.8 yards per game. Jordan Fuller leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 25 tackles, Chase Young has eight sacks and Jeff Okudah has three interceptions.

The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last 5 conference games. The under is 10-3 in Spartans last 13 games overall.

The Michigan State Spartans have covered six of their last nine games as a double-digit underdog. The Ohio State Buckeyes have covered five of their last six games as a double-digit favorite. We're never quite sure which Michigan State team is going to show up, as we've seen different versions of this squad and the offense can go ice cold. Ohio State has done nothing but beat teams into the ground and you can argue the Buckeyes have been the most impressive team in the entire country. Ohio State has won the last three games against Michigan State, and they've won those games by an average of 22 points. I'm not stepping in front of the Buckeyes right now.

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Randy’s Pick Ohio State Buckeyes -20

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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