Minnesota vs. Illinois - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota vs. Illinois - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Mike Granse-USA TODAY Sports

Illinois Fighting Illini (2-2) at Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 3:30 pm (TCF Bank Stadium)

The Line: Minnesota Golden Gophers -14 -- Over/Under: 60 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Illinois Fighting Illini and Minnesota Golden Gophers meet Saturday in college football action at TCF Bank Stadium.

The Illinois Fighting Illini look for a big road victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Illinois Fighting Illini have lost six of their last eight road games. Brandon Peters is completing 59 percent of his passes for 765 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Peters has two or more touchdown passes in three of his last four games. Ricky Smalling and Josh Imatorbhebhe have combined for 393 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Daniel Barker has seven receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 181.2 yards per contest, and Reggie Corbin leads the way with 314 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 25.5 points and 407.8 yards per game. Dele Harding leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 41 tackles, Oluwole Betiku Jr. has seven sacks and Michael Marchese has one interception.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers look for another victory to start a season 5-0 for the first time since 2004. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have won seven of their last nine home games. Tanner Morgan is completing 73.4 percent of his passes for 1,095 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Morgan has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last five games. Rashod Bateman and Tyler Johnson have combined for 778 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Chris Autman-Bell has nine receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 115.7 yards per contest, and Rodney Smith leads the way with 325 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 28.9 points and 331 yards per game. Antoine Winfield Jr. leads the Minnesota Golden Gophers with 23 tackles, Sam Renner has two sacks and Kamal Martin has two interceptions.

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The Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The over is 7-3 in Golden Gophers last 10 games in October. The over is 7-3 in Fighting Illini last 10 games overall.

The Illinois Fighting Illini have failed to cover seven of their last 10 games as a double-digit underdog. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have failed to cover 12 of their last 16 games as a double-digit favorite. Illinois just went toe-to-toe with Nebraska, and while that may not be saying much in the grand scheme of things, it's a victory for this struggling program. Also, Illinois has had an extra week to prepare. Minnesota may be 4-0 SU on the season, but it's wins have come by a combined 20 points. Minnesota hasn't shown it can put teams away. I'll take the points with the Illinois Fighting Illini.

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Randy’s Pick Illinois Fighting Illini +14

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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