Michigan vs. Iowa - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan vs. Iowa - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Iowa Hawkeyes (4-0) at Michigan Wolverines (3-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Michigan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan Wolverines -3.5 -- Over/Under: 48 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action at Michigan Stadium.

The Iowa Hawkeyes look for a statement road win to start 5-0 for the first time since 2015. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won four of their last six road games. Nate Stanley is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 965 yards, eight touchdowns and zero interceptions. Stanley has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 13 games. Ihmir Smith-Marsette and Brandon Smith have combined for 424 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Tyrone Tracy Jr. has eight receptions. The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 217.5 yards per contest, and Mekhi Sargent leads the way with 299 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 8.5 points and 251 yards per game. Kristian Welch leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 31 tackles, Amani Jones has one sack and Michael Ojemudia has two interceptions.

The Michigan Wolverines look for their fourth home win to improve to 4-1 on the season. The Michigan Wolverines have won their last 10 home games. Shea Patterson is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 905 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 12 games. Ronnie Bell and Nico Collins have combined for 469 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Tarik Black has 12 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 130.5 yards per contest, and Zach Charbonnet leads the way with 218 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 19.3 points and 295.8 yards per game. Khaleke Hudson leads the Michigan Wolverines with 41 tackles, Jordan Glasgow has two sacks and Ambry Thomas has one interception.

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The Hawkeyes are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on fieldturf. The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The underdog is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings. The over is 21-8-1 in Wolverines last 30 home games. The over is 10-4-1 in Hawkeyes last 15 games overall.

The Iowa Hawkeyes have failed to cover their last six games as a road underdog. The Michigan Wolverines have covered seven of their last 11 games as a home favorite. I don't trust Michigan or Jim Harbaugh in big games, and I've made that perfectly clear the last couple of years. However, it's been a while since Iowa has covered as a road underdog and they haven't really been tested up to this point. We're also not being asked to lay a bunch of points, so this is one outhouse games where you can kind of back the Wolverines without sweating too much. If Michigan doesn't win this game, outside voices will get even louder and heads may start to roll. I'll eat the reasonable number. 

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Randy’s Pick Michigan Wolverines -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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