LSU vs. Utah State - 10/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports
Utah State Aggies (3-1) at LSU Tigers (4-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Tiger Stadium-LSU)
The Line: LSU Tigers -28 -- Over/Under: 72.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Utah State Aggies and the LSU Tigers meet in a week 6 college football matchup from Tiger Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Utah State Aggies will look to pick up a huge road win to add to their current three game winning streak after a 34-24 win over Colorado State last time out. Jordan Love has thrown for 1,207 yards, 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 64.8% passing while Jaylen Warren leads Utah State with 335 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns while Gerold Bright has 301 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Siaosi Mariner leads the Aggies in receiving with 305 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 22 catches while Caleb Repp has 200 receiving yards. Deven Thompkins has 193 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while Savon Scarver and Jordan Nathan each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, David Woodward leads Utah State with 55 total tackles, including 32 solo tackles, more than twice the amount of total tackles than the Aggie in 2nd, who is Troy Lefeged Jr. with 27 total tackles. As a team, Utah State is averaging 533.5 yards of total offense and 38.5 points per game while allowing 377.5 yards of total defense and 21.5 points per game against this season.
The LSU Tigers will look to remain unbeaten after having an extra week to prepare for this game, improving to 4-0 on the year after a 66-38 win over Vanderbilt last time out. Joe Burrow has thrown for 1,520 yards, 17 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 80.6% passing while Clyde Edwards-Helaire leads the Tigers in rushing with 288 rushing yards and 5 TDs. Ja’Marr Chase leads LSU with 397 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns while Justin Jefferson is right behind with a team-high 21 catches for 392 yards and 5 touchdowns of his own. Terrace Marshall Jr has 20 grabs for 304 yards and a team-high 6 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Jacob Phillips leads LSU with 35 total tackles including 18 solo tackles. As a team, LSU is averaging the 3rd-most total yardage per game, racking up 563.8 yards of total offense, including the 2nd-most passing yards per game with 431.8 yards per game and the highest-scoring offense in FBS, averaging 57.8 points per game. The LSU defense is allowing 320 yards of total defense and 23.2 points per game against this season.
Utah State is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 non-conference games. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 non-conference games.
I completely get LSU being favored at home as Tiger Stadium is one of the tougher venues on the road to go and compete. Utah State also didn’t look great against Colorado State despite winning by 10 points, while LSU racked up another 66 points, making it 4 for 4 this season scoring at least 45 points in a game. However, this may be a pick to check back on later in the week as guys like Burrow and Justin Jefferson are questionable for LSU after suffering injuries against Vanderbilt. Utah State is talented offensively and can put points on the board so laying this many points is dicey as it is, but if two of LSU’s top guys can’t go, I’m for sure on the points with Utah State which is where I’m leaning for this one.