Cincinnati vs. UCF - 10/4/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati vs. UCF - 10/4/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

UCF Knights (4-1) at Cincinnati Bearcats (3-1)

College Football: Friday, October 4, 2019 at 8:00 pm (Nippert Stadium)

The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats +4 -- Over/Under: 60 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UCF Knights and Cincinnati Bearcats meet Friday in college football action at Nippert Stadium.

The UCF Knights look for a second road victory to improve to 5-1 on the season. The UCF Knights have won five of their last six road games. Dillon Gabriel is completing 61.7 percent of his passes for 1,338 yards, 14 touchdowns and two interceptions. Gabriel and Brandon Wimbush have combined for 16 touchdown passes this season. Gabriel Davis and Tre Nixon have combined for 789 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Jacob Harris has six receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 232.6 yards per contest, and Greg McCrae leads the way with 323 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 19.4 points and 324.8 yards per game. Nate Evans leads the UCF Knights with 29 tackles, Brendon Hayes has two sacks and Tay Gowan has one interception.

The Cincinnati Bearcats look for a statement victory to improve their odds in the AAC East Division. The Cincinnati Bearcats have won each of their last nine home games. Desmond Ridder is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 815 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Ridder has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 15 games. Alec Pierce and Josiah Deguara have combined for 460 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Thomas Geddis has six receptions. The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 186.5 yards per contest, and Michael Warren II leads the way with 262 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 20.8 points and 297.3 yards per game. Darrick Forrest leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 26 tackles, Michael Pitts has four sacks and Ja'von Hicks has one interception.

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The Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall. The Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Bearcats last 5 Friday games. The under is 4-1 in Knights last 5 road games.

The UCF Knights have covered five of their last seven road games as a favorite. The Cincinnati Bearcats have failed to cover six of their last seven games as a home underdog. Outside of a loss to Pittsburgh, UCF has beaten the breaks off of every team its played, and the speed at the skill positions makes this a tough team to defend. However, Cincinnati has handled business rather easily in every game its played outside of Ohio State, and I mentioned before the season that this was going to be one of the better Bearcats teams you've seen in quite some time. Friday night, under the lights, this is a game the Cincinnati Bearcats will want to flex their muscles and prove they're legit in the AAC. I liked this Cincy team from the start and there's no reason to back down now. I'm taking the points. 

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Randy’s Pick Cincinnati Bearcats +4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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